NFL Super WildCard Sunday Props from BV – 1/16/22

Sunday Football happens once again, the second day of three for Super WildCard Weekend. More player props for everyone to eat up and add to your moneyline bets.

O/U’s

Big Ben O1.5 TDs +158

Half Touchdown bet, half Over Under so I’ll explain myself. Big Bens farewell party more than likely. He said it himself “We got no chance, let’s go out and have fun”. He is going to throw everything he’s got into this game and he might throw 50 passes. With so many weapons and maybe JuJu coming back, not even necessarily that he’ll be the reason people score but one of the weapons will make a play and get in the end zone. Twice.

DeVonta Smith O43.5
Jalen Hurts O49.5 Rushing
Dalton Schultz O39.5
Deebo Samuel O28.5
Tyreek Hill U70.5

Anytime TD Scorer

Evans and Gronk TD +424

If you don’t want to Parlay it don’t but I am pointing out that they will probably both be scoring, there is never a lack of scoring from the Bucs. Regardless of winning or losing, the run game is usually underutilized and they’ll throw and throw again. Gronk has not scored in awhile but is definitely the prime target for playoff Tom, and Mike has 4 in his last 4 and the most receiving TDs on the team.

Mike Evans +105
Rob Gronkowski +125
Elijah Mitchell -115
Amari Cooper +140
Najee Harris +110
Travis Kelce -145

NFL Super WildCard Saturday Props from BV – 1/15/22

I’ll let DB and FCB handle the actual picks so stay tuned for those, but if you’re creating a same game parlay or looking for some player props to add into your own I am the one stop shop for those. Lets win some coin this Super WildCard Weekend.

Anytime TD Scorer

Hunter Renfrow +175

Hunter Renfrow is emerging as one of the heavy hitting slot receivers in this league, or at least is finally being seen by the media eye. He has been a prime target in the red zone and has 4 touchdowns in his last 3 games. Don’t expect that to change as the Bengals have the 21st ranked pass defense in the league.

Jamarr Chase -105
Damien Harris +115
Gabriel Davis +270

O/U’s

CJ Uzomah O25.5 Receiving

I cannot dodge such a juicy Tight End prop. He has gotten 25.5 in 3 of his last 4 games and although his targets have gone down, he has been more efficient. The Raiders also have struggled against TEs, the last 7 games the lead TE has had at least 26 yards. Uzomah TD prop is also at +220 but I don’t know if I love that with so many weapons on the field.

Jamarr Chase O70.5
Stefon Diggs O68.5
Mac Jones U204.5

BV

Best Bet for College Basketball Tonight – 1/14/22

I personally took yesterday off but tailed BV’s plays (going 4-4) for half unit each and DB’s Pelicans -3.5 play for a full unit, coming out slightly green (5-4 +0.76u). Here’s the college basketball play I like the best for tonight before NFL kicks off tomorrow.

Buffalo (8-6) -7.5 (#107) over Ball State (7-8) (#256)

Maybe I’m just secretly yearning for MACtion now that college football is over, but this early game immediately jumped off the board to me. When Buffalo wins, they tend to win big. They’ve won two of their last three, with their two wins coming by 14 over Western Michigan (#331) and by 11 over Bowling Green (#163). Prior to that, they have victory margins of 42, 10, 45, 16, 22, and 3. They also have two quality losses mixed in there, falling to St. Bonaventure (#70) by 3 and Michigan (#26) by 12.

Ball State on the other hand has been no stranger to blowouts this season, with their eight losses coming by 10, 1, 21, 46, 13, 11, 13, and 11. They’ve played a much weaker schedule so far than Buffalo, and with the Bulls showing potential to hang with the big dogs and drop blowouts on inferior opponents, I’m riding Buffalo tonight to cover the 7.5.

Follow along on the Action app here, Twitter @itsafullcount, or Facebook.

Mr. FC

NFL Wild Card Weekend Two Best Bets for Sunday – 1/16/22

So I posted my Saturday plays earlier this week, so here’s my two favorite for Sunday.

Eagles +8.5 over the Bucs

As you can see, I love underdogs on wild card weekend. The Bucs have been everything but consistent to end the season, obviously could have a better locker room/team morale, and are playing an Eagles team that had won 6 of their last 7 games of the season before resting starters against the Cowboys Week 18.

The Eagles defense has also been underrated as of late, as they’ve crept into the top 10 in both passing and rushing yards allowed per game. I can see this game going about five different ways, and only one of them ends with the Bucs winning by double digits and covering the spread, so I’m rolling with the Birds.

49ers +3 over the Cowboys

Do I trust the Cowboys in the playoffs? No. Do I trust Dak in the playoffs? No. Do I trust Mike McCarthy in the playoffs? HELL NO. I’m admittedly less confident in this game than the others, but I just can’t count on this back and forth Cowboys team to cover. The 49ers and Kyle Shanahan are one of the few NFC teams without a bad loss, and I expect them to run the ball 30+ times, shorten the game, and come out on top. ML is sitting at around +135 for San Fran, which I also think could be a good value play.

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Mr. FC

2 Best Bets for College Basketball tonight – 1/12/22

I’ve admittedly been ICE COLD in my posted college basketball plays, but did go 8-1 overall yesterday in an incredible bounce back day (all verified on action app), helped by DB’s soccer play and two of BV’s college basketball plays. I have two plays tonight in two major games, tail or fade at your discretion after reading.

Xavier -1.5 over Villanova

I think these are two extremely evenly matched teams. However, Xavier is undefeated at home this season (9-0) while Villanova is .500 on the road (3-3), with 3 of their 4 losses coming in that fashion. Xavier has lost to Iowa State (#15 at the time) and Villanova on the road, but I expect a turnaround for the Musketeers at home and to come out on top against an overrated Nova team that that has been skating by for a lot of the season against inferior competition and is playing one of their biggest games of the season on the road against another Big East top dog.

LSU (#10) +3 over Florida (#36)

Good ole SEC basketball. Sorry to oversimplify this one, but sometimes that’s the best way to do it. LSU has answered the bell at every challenge this year, besides their loss to #4 Auburn (14-1 overall). On the other hand, Florida has stumbled so far this season, dropping games to Alabama, Auburn, Maryland, TEXAS SOUTHERN (#191), and Oklahoma. IMO, LSU should be 3-4 point favorites in this matchup so take the points and ML if you’re into that sort of thing.

Rankings via KenPom.

Follow along on the Action app here, Twitter @itsafullcount, or Facebook.

Mr. FC

CBB Picks from BV – 1/11/22

Northeastern @ James Madison, James Madison -6

James Madison has a rather good team and a good defense being at 9-3 coming off a tough home loss to Hofstra that’s gonna sting and light a fire. The Northeastern Huskies are on a downfall to say the least. They have lost their last 4, they are 0-6 on the road, and they 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs a team with a winning record. The Dukes on the other hand, 6-1 at home and 8 straight ATS against teams with a losing record. All signs point James Madison.

Update: WV -2 has been upgraded to pick #2 due to Providence/Creighton being postponed.

Providence @ Creighton, Providence +4.5

There are two reasons that Creighton is favored, first is their common opponent Marquette, they got beat badly I believe it was because it was the Friars first game without Reeves in the lineup. And second, Creighton is at home. Playing home or away doesn’t mean much to this defensive minded Providence team as they are 14-2 and won 9 of their last 10. Creighton just got waxed but Villanova and I think that provides a solid game plan to win this game or at least keep it close enough to cover.

All the picks in one place:
USC -6.5
South Carolina +15.5
Texas Tech +12
Jacksonville -4.5
St. Louis +3
James Madison -6
Toledo +1
Miami(FL) +6.5
Auburn +3
Providence +4.5
West Virginia -2

NFL Wild Card Weekend Two Best Bets for Saturday – 1/15/22

Wow, did this season fly by or what? Even with the extra week! Anyways, I finished the regular season 38-35 ATS, and I have two picks for Saturday. Let’s get it.

Raiders +5.5 over Bengals

I liked this line when I saw it at +6 but was late jumping on it so ended up getting +5.5. I think the Bengals are being overvalued after their win against the Chiefs that the refs essentially gifted to them, and the Raiders will be coming in with much more of the “nothing to lose” mentality, which typically helps early game nerves and mistakes in must-win games. If I’m picking the outright winner, I still think Cincy pulls it off in a close one, but I foresee an extremely competitive game that’s decided on the last possession, so I’ll take the Raiders and the points.

Patriots/Bills Under 43

I’m sure nobody has forgotten the first game in Buffalo between these two teams, where Bill Belichick put both middle fingers up to Sean McDermott and the Bills and only threw the ball three (3!!!!!) times and won 14-10. It’s supposed to be another cold, bad weather game with a high of 9 degrees and strong winds, so I expect a similar game plan for BB and the Pats. With that, there should be a lot of clock chewing and a low scoring game, so I foresee another game played in the teens/low 20’s.

Follow along on the Action app here, Twitter @itsafullcount, or Facebook.

Mr. FC

Best College Basketball Bet for 1/10/22

With most attention on the National Championship game between Bama and Georgia, let’s take a look at the CBB matchup with the most value on it IMO.

UMKC (#225) -9.5 over Nebraska Omaha (#337) – 7 PM CST

The 6-6 UMKC Kangaroos host the 3-12 Omaha Mavericks as 9.5 point favorites tonight. Omaha is ranked #337 out of 358 total teams, with their 3 wins coming against Hastings by 4 (NR), Western Illinois by 6 (#204), and North Dakota by 16 (#350). In their 12 losses (even including some NR teams they stayed close with), they lost by an average of 20 points.

UMKC on the flip side has shown some promise this year and that they can play above their talent level, upsetting in state rival Mizzou (#148) early in the season 80-66. In their six wins this season, their average margin of victory has been 29 points. Toss in Omaha being winless on the road and UMKC 3-1 at home, I like the Roos to cover with ease tonight.

Follow along on the Action app here, Twitter @itsafullcount, or Facebook.

Mr. FC

NFL Props and Picks – 1/8/21

No Thursday Night Football so I show up on Saturday instead. Some divisional games in Week 18 to remind us that next week is the playoffs and there is no more College Football. Ugh.

Travis Kelce TD -109

Kelce is going to score today, might even score first which is a nice +650 if that’s your thing. He has been the best tight end all season and the Broncos tend to have trouble keeping track of him.

Jerry Jeudy TD +310

If the points are coming from anywhere today I think it’s Jerry. I would hope the Broncos cap off their season with some hope and there’s no better way to do that than get your young receiver the ball as much as possible.

Darrell Williams O59.5 Rush Yards

With CEH out, there’s no reason he shouldn’t be getting the majority of the snaps and with them winning the game probably wire to wire I expect him to run the ball enough times to get a cool 60 with 90 last week against a stout bengals defense.

Dallas/Philadelphia, Cowboys -3.5

Not a ton of player props in this game that I like so I went ahead and just took the Cowboys. There is still a slight chance they improve their seeding and there is a lot of speculation on if either team is going to play at full strength but the Eagles definitely had Covid problems early this week. The Cowboys are much better overall and the Eagles have 9 fraudulent wins, go look at their schedule. The Cowboys don’t want to enter the playoffs with back to back losses and Philly is just overall not good I believe. Take the Boys.

BV

Best College Basketball Spread Bet for 1/7/22 – Battle of the Dogs

#180 Boston U -7.5 over #275 Loyola (MD)

None of the “big” games stood out to me when looking at the board, so I scrounged a bit and decided on this game with the best value, the 10-5 Boston Terriers (yes for real) hosting the 7-6 Loyola Greyhounds.

The first thing that jumped out to me when handicapping this matchup was each teams’ home/road record so far. Boston is an impressive 5-1 at home while Loyola (MD) is 1-5 on the road. So not being worried about an outright upset, I dug a little deeper into the level of competition each team has faced this season.

Starting with Loyola (MD), the average KenPom opponent ranking for their 7 wins was 308 (KenPom ranks every team 1-358). They’ve also had some pretty bad losses, including losing to Coppin State (#305) by 22. On the flip side, Boston U has handled every team ranked #200 and above, and have some “impressive” losses against Florida State (#47) on the road by 1 and Rhode Island by 9 (#79).

With Boston proving they can hang with the big dogs and take care of inferior competition and Loyola (MD) having little to no success against teams that aren’t bottom feeders, I love the Terriers to cover the 7.5 today.

Follow along on the Action app here, Twitter @itsafullcount, or Facebook.

Mr. FC