Best CBB bet for Thursday – 1/27/22

Wisconsin (#26) -7.5 over Nebraska (#162)

The 15-3 Badgers travel to Nebraska to take on the 6-13 Cornhuskers for an early tip (4 PM CST). Nebraska is winless in conference play, while Wisconsin just had their seven game win streak snapped last Friday in a 86-74 loss to Michigan State (#18). During that win streak though, Wisconsin had several impressive wins, including taking down Purdue (#6), Iowa (#19), and Ohio State (#24).

Nebraska on the other hand has been a shit show, to put it lightly. Their last four games include a 7 point loss to Indiana (#32), 27 point loss to Purdue, 10 point loss to Illinois, and a 28 point loss to Rutgers (#98). Wisconsin is one of the more well rounded teams in the country, ranking in the top 50 in both offensive (27th) and defensive (44th) efficiency, while Nebraska finds themselves near the bottom (169th and 176th).

Add to the fact that Wisconsin is the second best team in the whole nation in turnovers (averaging only 8.4 per game), Nebraska will have little room for error so I love the odds on the Badgers covering this number with ease.

Follow along on the Action app here, Twitter @itsafullcount, or Facebook.

We never charge for picks, so feel free to drop a tip of any amount on our Twitter profile if we help you win big!

Mr. FC

Best Bet for NFC Championship Game SF/LAR – 1/30/22

Coming off an incredible divisional weekend where I went 3-1 ATS and 6-2 overall (+4.63u), I’m back with my pick (technically two) for the NFC Championship game. If you’re new here, I’m from KC and a Chiefs fan so I’m not touching that game, just hope my Chiefs +400 AFC Champion future cashes and try to hit the middle on Bengals +7.

Rams -3.5 over 49ers, Rams ML (-185)

The Rams have easily been the most dominant team on the NFC side so far in the playoffs and Stafford and company are clicking on all cylinders like they were early in the season. Jimmy G and the 49ers on the other hand limped to the finish after a fast start against the Cowboys and very well could have lost that game, not to mention them only escaping Green Bay thanks to the weather conditions evening out the offenses (despite Rodgers’ previous comments) and the Packers having the worst special teams unit in the league.

With the Rams coming home, I simply don’t see the 49ers defense being able to get enough stops and limit big plays from Kupp and OBJ, and I certainly don’t have faith in Jimmy G to go drive for drive with Stafford. I honestly don’t see this game being particularly close, but if you feel more comfortable paying some extra juice, you can always look at getting -2.5 or -3.

Follow along on the Action app here, Twitter @itsafullcount, or Facebook.

We never charge for picks, so feel free to drop a tip of any amount on our Twitter profile if we help you win big!

Mr. FC

Best CBB bet for Tuesday – 1/25/22

After a slow start to the game we hit with ease on our play yesterday, so let’s throw up another one today!

Auburn -13 (#5) over Mizzou (#135)

As a Mizzou alum, I find myself betting against my alma mater much more frequently than on them for good reason. Throw out the outlier win against Alabama, and Mizzou has lost by 14 against UMKC (#256), 23 to Florida State (#55), 6 to Wichita State (#88), 21 to Liberty (#99), 37 to Kansas, 25 to Illinois, and 27 to Kentucky. Besides Kansas and maybe Illinois/Kentucky, none of those teams have near the talent that Auburn does, so there’s no reason to think Auburn won’t make easy pickings of Mizzou.

Auburn is also protecting their #1 AP ranking after getting denied it last week thanks to KenPom nerds like myself, so I think they still have a little extra fire in them to prove everyone wrong and that they are one of the top teams, if not the very best. Also so far this season, when one team is ranked higher than 100 spots than their opponent via KenPom, the favorite has won by double digits over 75% of the time. With all these factors, I’m rolling with the AUBURN Tigers to cover tonight at Mizzou Arena.

Follow along on the Action app here, Twitter @itsafullcount, or Facebook.

We never charge for picks, so feel free to drop a tip of any amount on our Twitter profile if we help you win big!

Mr. FC

Best CBB bet for Monday + NFL recap – 1/24/22

What a weekend! I went 3-1 on ATS write ups and 6-2 overall (+4.63u), hitting on Bengals spread/ML, missing on the Packers spread, hitting on the Rams spread/ML while missing on the under, and hitting on Chiefs spread/ML (all verified bets on Action app).

College basketball has been my Achilles heel so far, currently sitting at an uninspiring 32-36. So ride my NFL heater or fade my CBB picks? Your call, but I’ll be throwing a half unit on this play tonight.

USC (#23) -12 over Arizona State (#123)

This is much more a bet against ASU than it is on USC, but I still love the number we get and the matchup with the 16-2 Trojans hosting the 6-10 Sun Devils. Arizona State is without their coach Bobby Hurley after being suspended due to a verbal confrontation with a ref in their loss to Stanford on Saturday, along with an already thin and undersized roster missing key players due to injury/COVID. USC should dominate the glass and control the game, and hopefully their 3 point defense (biggest weakness this season) will settle back to the mean against a below average ASU team. USC has also won by double digits in 7 of their 9 home games, so I’m rolling with the Trojans tonight after a couple road wins against Colorado (#86) and Utah (#113) by 12.

Follow along on the Action app here, Twitter @itsafullcount, or Facebook.

We never charge for picks, so feel free to drop a tip of any amount on our Twitter profile if we help you win big!

Mr. FC

NFL Saturday Props from BV

Another Weekend of Playoff Football is upon us. The Bengals and Titans Clash to take an opportunity at the AFC Championship. Meanwhile, the Packers look to prove their dominance over San Fran in Lambeau. Here’s some props I think that are worth your time.

ATD: Tee Higgins +150

I think one of the most slept on picks for this weekend is Tee Higgins for the Cincinnati Bengals. This guy is an elite receiver who can make anybody miss while also being 6’4 215. He will have to be an end zone threat if they want a chance to win today. While all of the spotlight is on Jamarr Chase, expect Tee to make the plays that score points.

Aaron Jones +114
Derrick Henry -230
George Kittle +170

O/U’s: Jimmy Garoppolo U229.5

This game is going to be cold. When I say cold I mean really cold. Like really… Ok you probably get it but they’re going to hand the ball off a lot in conditions like these in order to limit Jimmy’s turnovers surely. He’s had multiple games this season under the 230 mark and is yet to throw over this mark in a playoff game in his career. I wish em the best but they’re going to need to run to try and win this game.

Jamarr Chase O78.5
Julio Jones U46.5
Brandon Aiyuk O50.5

BV

Best Bet for Divisional Round BUF/KC – 1/23/22

Ah the day is here. I’ve recapped and gave picks for the first 3 games this whole week, so now it’s time for my hometown Chiefs taking on the Bills Sunday night. I’m obviously a tad biased, but also well informed and very confident in this one. Let’s get it.

Chiefs -2 over Bills

If you’ve read or watched anything about this game this week then you know you can disregard most of what we saw in the Bills 38-20 victory over the Chiefs in Week 5. KC was playing with an injured Frank Clark, no Chris Jones, no Melvin Ingram, and no Charvarius Ward. Not surprisingly, getting their three best defensive lineman on the field at the same time and one of their top two corners turned the defense around the rest of the season, making them the top unit in the whole league.

Playoff Patrick Mahomes is on a different level than even regular season Mahomes, so after the clinic put on against the Steelers there’s no reason to think KC won’t hang at least 30 on the Bills at Arrowhead Sunday night. With a healthy defensive live and the Steve Spagnuolo’s creative blitz packages (along with keeping a spy on Allen to avoid big plays using his legs), I think the Chiefs defense will be able to do what the Patriots failed at miserably, holding Allen in check just enough and help lead the Chiefs to their 4th straight AFC Championship game.

Follow along on the Action app here, Twitter @itsafullcount, or Facebook.

We never charge for picks, so feel free to drop a tip of any amount on our Twitter profile if we help you win big!

Mr. FC

Best Bet for Divisional Round LAR/TB – 1/23/22

I’ve already given out my pick for both the Bengals/Titans and 49ers/Packers games, so let’s take look at the first game on Sunday, the Rams heading into Tampa to take on Brady and the Bucs.

Rams +3 over Bucs

It seems a lot of people have anointed the Bucs as 1B in the NFC after the Packers at 1A, but I see Green Bay on a tier of their own with the Rams and Bucs at 2A and 2B respectively. The Bucs beat up on a bad Eagles team, got a few early calls that swung the momentum and never looked back.

The Rams beat up on what most would agree is a better Cardinals team (in comparison to the Eagles). Not only was it promising to see their high powered offense back into its early season form, they were able to get OBJ going a bit with 4 catches for 54 yards and a TD (on just four targets). The Rams defense also seemed to return to playing at the level of they’re capable of, spending a good portion of the game in the backfield pressuring Murray, leading to two interceptions and a couple of sacks.

I think this game should be closer to a pick em, so I’m confident in getting the 3 points going with the Rams and am also playing Rams ML +130. As far as the total goes (48.5), I’m leaning towards the under but haven’t decided it if I’ll be playing that as well.

Follow along on the Action app here, Twitter @itsafullcount, or Facebook.

We never charge for picks, so feel free to drop a tip of any amount on our Twitter profile if we help you win big!

Mr. FC

Best Bet for Divisional Round SF/GB – 1/22/22

Packers -5.5 over 49ers

I gave out my pick for the early game on Saturday yesterday, so let’s take a look at the Saturday night game where the 49ers head into Lambeau Field as 5.5 point underdogs.

After watching San Francisco and Jimmy G’s pathetic job of closing out what should have been an easy win against the Cowboys, I simply can’t put my money on him against Aaron Rodgers. Since their Week 1 debacle, Rodgers and the Packers have played a nearly perfect season, proving that they are by far the best and most well rounded team in the NFC, possibly the league.

The 49ers will have to lean heavily on the run early against the Packers top rated pass defense, but Green Bay will of course know that and be able to load the box and force Jimmy G to beat them (which ain’t happening). On the flip side, one of the big strengths of the 49ers defense is being able put pressure on the QB while only rushing four, but they may have to get more creative with blitz packages if Nick Bosa is unable to return from his concussion he sustained against the Cowboys.

Rodgers should be able to pick apart the 49ers secondary either way, whether they give him all day to throw or blitz more than usual. I expect another feather in the cap of Rodgers’ incredible MVP season and a chance to go back to another Super Bowl with Green Bay, hosting either the Rams or Bucs next week in the NFC Championship game after a double digit win.

Follow along on the Action app here, Twitter @itsafullcount, or Facebook.

Mr. FC

Best Bet for Divisional Round CIN/TEN – 1/22/22

Bengals +3.5 over Titans

I love Joe Burrow and the Bengals to win outright, so I especially love getting the 3.5 here. I’m very much in the “what have you done for me lately” mindset when it comes to NFL, and there’s no denying the Bengals appeared to be the much better team to close out the season when at full strength and have even more momentum coming off their first playoff win in decades.

The Titans were barely able to hold off the HOUSTON TEXANS to clinch the #1 seed, and I feel like way too much stock is being put into Derrick Henry’s return when the Titans have been pretty mum when it comes to how healthy he actually is, although he’ll undoubtedly be active no matter what. I expect the Bengals to load the box, force Ryan Tannehill to make plays, and turn it into a QB battle. With that being the case, I’ll put my money on Burrow without hesitation, Cincy to cover at worst, and should win outright.

Follow along on the Action app here, Twitter @itsafullcount, or Facebook.

Mr. FC

CBB Picks from BV – 1/18/22

Ohio @ Miami (OH), Ohio -1 (7PM EST)

The Ohio Bobcats have been a problem all year, posting a 13-2 record (4-0 in the MAC). They played well with strong opponents early in the year and after Jason Preston’s departure to the NBA, they returned 4 starters and got Jason Carter back from Xavier who has been a stud, averaging 15 and 7 for the Bobcats this season. Miami has lost 2 of their last 3 after a Covid break including one at home to Toledo. There is no real reason to think Miami (OH) is going to win this game other than they can shoot the 3 ball a tad better and they’re at home. But they are even 2-3 at home against DI opponents. If Miami wins I would be shocked.

Duke @ Florida State, Duke -5 (9PM EST)

Duke is Duke, don’t forget it. Florida State is a good team and plays good defense but they haven’t seen Paulo Banchero yet. The freshman is a machine posting 18 points per game on 50% shooting, and with the likes of Wendell Moore Jr. and Trevor Keels, they are hard to slow down for any team. Another thought to add is Florida State’s starting forward is doubtful for tonight’s game. The teams leading rebounder, second leading scorer, and probably the top candidate to try and shut down Paulo. This is going to be an offensive clinic while Duke crashes the offensive boards and capitalizes.

All the picks in one place:
West Virginia +6.5
Kansas -3.5
Iona -3.5
East Carolina +3
FGCU -3.5
Ohio -1
Fordham +8
Duke -5
Wisconsin -2.5
Iowa State +8
Fresno State -3

BV