I had an average weekend, barely staying in the green Friday-Sunday. Let’s move it to 4 days in a row in the green and start a new BB streak!
Saint Mary’s (#16) -5 over Santa Clara (#68)
The Saint Mary’s Gaels and Santa Clara Broncos square up late tonight with a trip to the WCC final on the line, likely against Gonzaga if they can take care of San Francisco as double digit favorites. SM and SC split their two games during the regular season, but I like the Gaels to win and cover tonight.
First, Saint Mary’s has one of the best defenses in the entire country, ranking 9th in defensive rating and AdjD, while Santa Clara comes in at 184th and 142nd. This should help negate the Broncos biggest strength, ranking in the top 10 in the country in shooting percentage from the field and from 3.
The biggest thing that stands out to me about Santa Clara is their lack of quality wins. Their best win without a doubt was their 5 point victory at home against Saint Mary’s back on February 8th, while Saint Mary’s just handled #1 Gonzaga with ease and won by 10.
With the Gaels being the more well rounded and explosive team that has proven themselves capable of hanging with (and beating) top competition, I’m taking them to win and cover tonight and likely get a rematch with Gonzaga in the WCC Championship game tomorrow.