I ended February right by hitting on the primetime matchup last night and look to keep the momentum going into March!
Dayton (#48) +2.5 over Richmond (#91)
Tonight I head out to the Atlantic 10 where the 6th place Richmond Spiders 19-10 (10-6) host the 3rd place Dayton Flyers 20-9 (12-4). Both teams have been playing well as of late with Dayton winning 8 of their last 10 and Richmond winning 7 of their last 10.
Dayton shoots, rebounds, and plays defense much better than Richmond (Dayton 25th and 42nd in FG% and 3PT FG% vs 125th and 157th for Richmond, 170th vs 274th in rebounds, and 32nd defensive rating vs 221st for Richmond). The only edge the Spiders seem to have is forcing turnovers, so as long as Dayton is able to eliminate self inflicted mistakes as they have most of the season, I like them to win outright on the road tonight so I’ll also be sprinkling the ML (+120).