Best CBB bet for Tuesday from Mr. FC – 2/22/22

The win streak moved to 3 yesterday as the Blue Raiders dominated UTEP and won by 18 as 5 point favorites, following our wins on Buffalo and Princeton Thursday and Friday. Tonight, I head back to the Ivy League for a game that reminds me very much of the Princeton/Brown game we won with ease Friday night.

Yale (#147) -3 over Dartmouth (#232)

I see this as a lazy line similar to the Princeton game mentioned above because when these two teams met earlier this month, Yale was just able to escape with a 72-69 win despite being favored by 7 points. However, Yale played uncharacteristically that game, giving up 17 turnovers (big contrast from their season average of 12), which helped create 17 points for Dartmouth. Eliminate just a few of those unforced errors, and we’re looking at closer to a double digit win for Yale.

Looking at recent games, Yale was riding a 7 game win streak before falling to the other top team in the conference, Princeton (#112), by a score of 81-75 on Saturday. While Dartmouth is riding a two game winning streak, they are 4-6 in their past 10 and they took down three of the worst teams in the conference in that run, Columbia (#350) twice, Cornell (#197), and Brown (#202).

I expect Yale to take better care of the basketball this time around, show why they’re both the more efficient offensive and defensive team (192nd vs 280th and 124th vs 234th), much better shooting and rebounding team (170th vs 308th and 141st vs 256th). If all else fails, they have the best player in the Ivy League, Azar Swain, who is averaging 18 PPG (2nd in the Ivy League) and always has the potential to take over and win the game himself.

Like yesterday’s Middle Tennessee game, I’m making this a 2 unit play. Follow along on the Action app here (all verified picks), Twitter @itsafullcount, or Facebook.

Mr. FC

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