Best CBB bet for Monday from Mr. FC – 2/21/22

I stayed hot on Friday with a stress free win as Princeton beat Brown by 19 points as two point favorites, let’s keep it rolling into the new week with this Conference USA clash!

MTSU (#102) -5.5 over UTEP (#166)

One of my favorite mid major squads, the 19-7 (10-3) Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders host the 16-10 (9-5) UTEP Minors, where MTSU is a perfect 12-0 so far this season. Even more impressive, their average margin of victory at home is nearly 18 points and have won by double digits in 10 of their 12 home games, while covering this number in all but one home game.

The Minors are coming off a 14 point road win over Southern Miss (#344), one of the worst teams in the conferences, while the Blue Raiders are white hot and currently on a 5 game winning streak, beating UTSA by 9, Old Dominion by 15, Charlotte by 15 (who beat UTEP by 13), FIU by 6, and Florida Atlantic by 8.

Besides the obvious homecourt advantage, Middle Tennessee is the much better offensive team, ranking 87th in the country in FG percentage vs UTEP’s 263rd and 68th in Offensive Efficiency vs UTEP’s 220th ranking. With all other factors (defense, rebounding, assists, turnovers, etc.) being pretty even, I’m rolling with the Blue Raiders at home to continue their winning streak and cover.

Follow along on the Action app here (all verified picks), Twitter @itsafullcount, or Facebook.

Mr. FC

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