Princeton (#130) -2 over Brown (#188)
It’s Friday so you know what that means… Ivy League hoops! Princeton 17-5 (7-2) takes on Brown 12-13 (4-6) as two point favorites as the Tigers beat the Bears 76-74 in their first matchup back on January 15th. When looking at the numbers for both teams over the course of the season and especially recent history, it’s apparent Princeton is way more than two points better than Brown in my opinion, so I love the value we get here on the spread.
When looking at that first fluky game between these two teams, Brown shot 57% from the field, a stark contrast from their season average of 43% (231st). They also shot 47% from 3, again a big anomaly from their season average of 32% (279th). In almost every aspect of the game, Princeton is better than Brown (11th in the field goal percentage, 17th in 3 point percentage, 82nd vs 198th in rebounding, 24th vs 245th in assists, 30th vs 211th in turnovers).
Although Brown is riding a two game win streak, it consists of an unimpressive one point win over Cornell (#193) and two point win over Dartmouth (#244), while Princeton is coming off an 85-40 thrashing of Dartmouth and 85-63 blowout of Columbia. It’s highly unlikely the Bears can repeat their insane shooting performance from their last matchup against Princeton (in which they still lost by 2), so I’m rolling with the Tigers to win and cover.