#180 Boston U -7.5 over #275 Loyola (MD)
None of the “big” games stood out to me when looking at the board, so I scrounged a bit and decided on this game with the best value, the 10-5 Boston Terriers (yes for real) hosting the 7-6 Loyola Greyhounds.
The first thing that jumped out to me when handicapping this matchup was each teams’ home/road record so far. Boston is an impressive 5-1 at home while Loyola (MD) is 1-5 on the road. So not being worried about an outright upset, I dug a little deeper into the level of competition each team has faced this season.
Starting with Loyola (MD), the average KenPom opponent ranking for their 7 wins was 308 (KenPom ranks every team 1-358). They’ve also had some pretty bad losses, including losing to Coppin State (#305) by 22. On the flip side, Boston U has handled every team ranked #200 and above, and have some “impressive” losses against Florida State (#47) on the road by 1 and Rhode Island by 9 (#79).
With Boston proving they can hang with the big dogs and take care of inferior competition and Loyola (MD) having little to no success against teams that aren’t bottom feeders, I love the Terriers to cover the 7.5 today.
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Mr. FC
Full Count Betting 