Packers -0.5 over Browns, Colts/Cardinals Under 56
The Browns lost another starting offensive lineman (center JC Tretter) to the COVID-19 reserve list after a positive test, adding to the 9 defensive players, two other o lineman, top two QBs, along with Kareem Hunt and Jarvis Landry. Even if Baker Mayfield does return (who I’m not high on anyways), he’ll be playing behind a second string offensive line at Lambeau on Christmas Day. Aaron Rodgers should pick apart the depleted Cleveland defense and it’ll be an easy win for the Packers.
The clear reality in Arizona is that the offense is mediocre at best without DeAndre Hopkins and Kyler Murray looks lost. The Colts defense also seems to be coming into its own, giving up 17 points or less in 4 of their last 5 games.
There’s no reason to think the Colts and Jonathan Taylor won’t continue their success against a Cardinals defense that just gave up 112 yards (4.3 YPC) to Craig Reynolds, an undrafted journeyman from D2 Kutztown (yes it shockingly is a real school). I expect the Colts to control the clock and have a few lengthy drives, so I feel safe up at 56 with a couple teams that have played most of their games in the 40s.