Eagles -3.5 over Giants
The Eagles and Jalen Hurts have life! They sit at 5-6 after winning 3 of their last 4 and find themselves only a half game back of the Vikings and 49ers for the last two wildcard spots (who face off this week meaning an Eagles’ W would put them in the playoffs if the season ended Sunday).
Philadelphia has not only been winning but doing it in convincing fashion, beating the Saints by 11, the Broncos by 17 (both who are better than the Giants IMO), and the Lions by 38, so I feel comfortable with them covering the 3 and a half. The Giants are trending in the opposite direction of the Eagles largely due to the play of their QB Daniel Jones, so I expect him to be outplayed once again, make a couple mistakes, and the Eagles will cruise into one of the final wildcard spots.
Packers +2 over Rams
I know with the Packers’ injuries on defense and LA coming off their bye this is a trendy pick for a “get right” game for the Rams, but I just don’t see how you can put any faith in Stafford and this offense with how they’ve looked the past two games to go into a cold and windy Lambeau Field and outplay Aaron Rodgers in his element. Even if Aaron Jones doesn’t play again, AJ Dillon had no problem stepping in last week against the Vikings, going for 53 yards on only 11 carries (4.8 YPC) while adding on 6 catches for 44 yards.
I still think the Packers, Bucs and Cardinals are in a tier of their own in the NFC while the Rams and Cowboys have proven themselves to fall closer to the pretender than contender category, so I’m going to roll with Rodgers and the Packers at home to cover and in my opinion, win the game outright.
Bonus play: Packers ML +110
All bets are -110 and 1.1u to win 1u unless stated otherwise.
NFL spreads/totals YTD: 23-24 (-0.50u)