After a solid 3-1 Sunday ATS hitting on the Bears, Chiefs, and Steelers while missing on the Packers, I’m back tonight with the Giants +11 and a couple prop bets I love the value on.
Daniel Jones over 20.5 rushing yards
Up until the past two weeks, Jones hit this with ease in five of his first seven games (27, 95, 39, 27, 9, 4, 28). Danny Dimes has shown he doesn’t hesitate to leave the pocket and take what’s given to him, and with him being under fire from the Bucs defensive rush, I see him tucking and running at least two or three times tonight to hit this.
Daniel Jones over 243.5 passing yards
If the Giants want to stay competitive in this game, it’s no secret they’re going to have to throw the ball frequently and effectively. I feel like the 11 points is a bit much although I still expect the Bucs to win outright. If the Bucs do jump out to an early lead in a strong bounce back game, Jones will be throwing 35+ times and should have no problem hitting this over. If it is a competitive game, I still think they’ll ease Barkley back into action and Jones will be able to do enough to hit this over as well.
All bets are -110 and 1.1u to win 1u unless stated otherwise.