CFB Saturday Picks – 11/20/21

A new day and once again there is more money to make, an average week last week and my college basketball isn’t consistent yet with the season just starting but the only thing that’s changing here is the teams we spotlight. The only concerning thing looking out for is how the average teams are playing now that they are bowl eligible and things like that. Random factors that make teams give up or have trap games with rivalry week coming up next. Let’s. Win. The. Coins.

UTSA/UAB, UTSA -4.5 (330 EST)

MEEP MEEP! The Roadrunners, if you have not heard yet, are undefeated. What an absolute wagon they have been this year 8-2 ATS. They face UAB who has done well this season but not near the efficiency of the Roadrunners. I think this line was manipulated by a slow loss last week for UTSA over Southern Miss. But don’t get it twisted this team is tough, gritty, can run the ball, and has an outstanding pass protection that limits turnovers. It might be a challenge because they are on the road in the conference as the pressure of staying undefeated gets heavier and heavier. However, I like the fighting Meeps -4.5

Baylor/Kansas State, Baylor +1 (ML +100) (530 EST)

This one seems like a trap. 8-2 Baylor (7-3 ATS) goes to KState (6-3-1 ATS). Every trend falls in Baylor’s favor. Underdog in this matchup 5-1 last 6, Bears 7-2-1 last 10 as a road dog, Bears 4-1 last 5 overall,   12-4-1 last 17 as a straight underdog. Trends are in the Baylor Bears favor. Baylor’s run offense is just too good to slow down, I think. Kansas State has been playing well and winning because they are outscoring opponents. Baylor’s secondary is weaker which concerns me but that’s probably why the line switched from -1 Baylor to +2 Baylor. I believe the Bears get it done and take the win on the road to stay in the conversation with the big dogs.

Boise St/New Mexico, Boise St -27 (9PM EST)

Haven’t gotten to highlight my favorite field in America. Although 6-4 this year, the Broncos have played really well with substantial wins over Fresno State and BYU, and also a recognized 21-20 loss to #9 Oklahoma State. This week they take on the New Mexico Lobos who are 1-9 ATS and not a very good football team at all. The Lobos have lost by 27+ 4 times this year and I don’t see this one being much different. Boise State’s passing offense has been really good, in the Top 30 in college football and the Lobos… I can’t find a statistic for their defense. I looked up and down and cannot find a lot of their stats I assume because they are not very good, but they give up 350 yards a game, 27 points per game and are accustomed to losing. Boise in a blowout in their last home game of the season.

Bonus: Michigan State +19, Oklahoma -3, Bearcats -9.5, Syracuse +11.5, UCLA -3.5, Oregon +3

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