Hey all, hope you are having a great Halloween weekend! To avoid a spooky Sunday, make sure to tail this weekend. You may call me a square this week but that’s okay, as long as they cash!
YTD Record: 14-8-1 (+5u)
Bucs -4.5 @NO
This line is weird to me. Tampa Bay is third in the NFL in margin over victory, at over 12.3, and have scored 33 points per game, good for third in the league. Outside of a fluky week 1 game vs Green Bay, New Orleans has not shown me the ability to compete in a shootout. And don’t fool yourself, the Saints defense is solid, but nobody is going to stop this Buc’s team. The saints have struggled to get after the Quarterback this year and if you give Brady time in the pocket, he’s going to pick you apart.
Cowboys +3 @ Vikings – be sure to read last sentence for analysis of Dak situation.
This is another line that jumped out at me right away. (Not always a good thing, I know). The biggest advantage for Dallas in this game is their passing game vs the vikings secondary. Yes, the Viking secondary has performed okay this year, (14th most passing yards against), but in the 2 games they have faced high powered offenses(Seattle and Arizona) they have given up 700 passing yards. They simply don’t have the depth at corner to match up. You also have that infamous Kirk Cousins in primetime factor, though that doesn’t play a ton into my analysis for good reason. Dallas has won their last 4 games coming off a bye and has covered in 3. The vikings are 3-4 ATS off a bye under Zimmer, and both teams had a week to prepare for this one. Expect the Cowboys defense to continue to prove that they are legit, and for that juggernaut offense to continue to ball. Also- I think Dak is almost certainly going to play, but he is currently listed as a game time decision. I will be holding off until it is announced one way or another but like the cowboys all the way to a pick em.
Other Plays: Titans/Colts u51, Chiefs/Giants o52, Broncos/WFT u45