TNF GB/AZ Props – 10/28/21

Thursdays in the NFL have been my enemy. But over the past couple of weeks, I’m starting to turn this franchise around. I don’t want to speak too soon but we went 3-1 in the Tampa game and went 2-1 last week which is a lot better than the fade Brewer 0-4’s in those early weeks. You’re either hot or you’re due, play my picks for TNF as you will.

Ertz O30.5 Receiving Yards

Ertz is another weapon added on to this insane team they have in Arizona this year. Still undefeated and mainly attributed to this passing offense. Playing on a short week, the Packers haven’t seen a tight end as talented as Ertz since week 2 with TJ Hockenson and their defense is in the bottom half of the league at defending tight ends. Last week he had 3 catches on 5 targets for 8, 9, and a 47 yard touchdown. They are looking for Ertz over the middle on mid-length routes and that was his first week in the offense. After a second week I’m confident he reaches this mark.

Aaron Rodgers O1.5 Passing TDs. -180 and O254.5 -114 (Parlayed at +192)

Discount double check. This man has officially announced that he is an owner of the Chicago Bears, and he might be an owner of the first W over the Arizona Cardinals this year. I don’t know why but primetime Aaron Rodgers gives me a weird feeling that he is going to light this team up. Without Lazard and potentially without Davante Adams I feel it. Even if they take the loss, he’s going to fight for this win as if it’s for a playoff spot because this could very well have seeding implications later down the line. If you tell me his stat line is 240 and 1 Touchdown tonight, I wouldn’t really believe you, ya know.

Christian Kirk TD +240

He’s got a touchdown in each of the last two, he gets the target share and is a deep play threat. As the third or fourth option in this offense at this point, I could see it very easy that the Packers lose him down the field once or twice and can see him getting in the end zone. And high value so why not.

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