3 best value bets for MLB today (+684 parlay) – 9/7/21

NYY -1.5 over TOR -105, Reds ML over CHC -158, SEA ML over HOU +146 (+684)

With this first bet there was no value on the ML so I went spread, but there is one possible trap I could fall into, the Yankees offense going onto another ice cold streak like we’ve seen this season. However, I’m going to chalk up their 5 hit zero run performance to open up their series with the Blue Jays as an anomaly as they’ve been so good in the second half of the season for the most part.

With Gerrit Cole on the mound, I have total confidence in 6-8 innings of 1-2 run ball minimum after his most recent dominant performance over the Angels, which with the Yankees offense and mostly rested bullpen should be enough to win and cover.

Next, I like Wade Miley and the Reds to take down the Chicago Cubs and Adrian Sampson. The Cubs seven game winning streak has to come to an end, right? I think so, especially with this pitching matchup.

Miley got roughed up in his last start, but has been one of the league’s best this season so I like his odds to bounce back against this Cubs lineup. Sampson is making only his second start of the season, his first since August 18th. With 4 innings being the most he’s thrown this season, even IF he’s able to be effective, it will turn into the Cubs bullpen against Miley so I like the odds on the Reds.

I’m going out on a bit of a limb on the last bet so feel free to leave it off for a two team parlay around +220, but I’m feeling risky. Maybe it’s personal bias, but I’ve bet on the Astros a lot this season and biggest takeaway is how inconsistent they are. With the amount of juice I’ve paid at times, I’m likely negative betting on them this season.

The pitching matchup is a wash in my opinion, Logan Gilbert of the Mariners who just shut out the Astros in his last start over five innings against Jake Odorizzi, who took the loss in that game giving up one run over five innings. With the plus money value nearing 150, in my opinion it’s worth it to take a shot on the Mariners to pull it out tonight.

I’ll be putting one unit on each game individually, as well as one unit on the parlay. Follow along here or on Twitter @itsafullcount.

Mr. FC

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