CFB Plays for Saturday – 9/4/21

What a way to start the weekend. UNC finished the game better in every team stat nearly but Sam Howell throws 3 INT’s and #10 UNC gets beat in the first game of the season. The -5.5 felt like a trap and I fell into the trap, for that I’m sorry to steer you wrong. However, there are plenty more games to win it back and these are some that I think get the job done. Happy Saturday! Welcome Back CFB!

Texas Tech/Houston, Take Texas Tech ML -125 (7PM EST)

Texas Tech is back, and the Red Raiders are led by potential first round pick Tyler Shough. He has a good veteran line to stand behind and pick apart this defense. The Red Raiders return 11 of their top 13 tacklers on defense and while they weren’t amazing on that side of the ball necessarily, I don’t believe in the Houston offense enough.

Texas Tech wide receiver Erik Ezukanma’s 748 receiving yards ranked No. 3 in the Big 12 last season and is looking to continue that trend with Shough. Marquis Waters also was brought in from Duke to help with some of the secondary issues as well.

Neither teams have been known for their defense or their winning lately. However, I believe the winner of this game has some bowl aspirations and could put together a decent season. I think that team is the Red Raiders. Tech @ -125, some sites even have them at +100 still

Clemson/Georgia, Clemson -3 (730PM EST)

Not Trevor Lawrence but DJ Uiagalelei. Learn to say it, learn to pronounce it, because you should be hearing it all season. 6’4 260 pounds of pure quarterback. He played two games last season in Lawrence’s absence and finished with 914 yards, 5 Touchdowns and completed 67% of his passes. Not to mention that their secondary might be the best in college football despite losing Derion Kendrick to none other than Georgia.

Georgia has a very strong run game and JT Daniels is back to play some good football as well. While the secondary is fantastic, he has a ton of help at the line and will have time to find holes, while also having that run game to help chew clock.

This will be a defensive game and will be won that way. I don’t think either team will be able to run the ball with Bryan Bresse taking over that DLine with the help of Myles Murphy and Tyler Davis stuffing up the middle.

If you don’t like it, I’m a big plus money guy, +125 for UGA isn’t awful either. It’s for sure not the worst decision you could make today. But, while many think this game is a toss-up, I like Dabo and DJ too much. Clemson -3

LSU/UCLA, UCLA ML +120 (830PM EST)

The UCLA run game was as good as expected in a Week 0 win against Hawai’i. Duke transfer Brittain Brown averaged six yards per carry and Michigan transfer Zach Charbonett hadover 100 yards and 3 touchdowns. While the pass game isn’t fully there yet, there were no turnovers on offense which is a positive and the game was run heavy as they were in front wire to wire anyways. The defense was pretty good and saw some reps while forcing two interceptions and got a couple sacks.

LSU is no joke though. Coming in ranked 16th in the country. Max Johnson takes the stage at Quarterback and while his 2-0 record and 8 touchdowns look impressive, I think his decision making and arm strength is still in question coming into this game. The LSU defense got better throughout the season last year and has a great secondary with Derek Stingley and Eli Ricks.

Overall, I think the LSU run defense isn’t strong enough and unfortunately with everything going on back home I don’t think their priorities are straight going on the road to a team that already has a great game under their belt. Take UCLA +120

Army at Georgia State, Army ML +110 (12PM EST)

Took a couple money lines but you can get Army at +110 right now and I don’t see a reason to not be happy about it. Army traditionally holds the ball for most of the game and last year had the #1 ranked defense in the country to compliment its creative rushing scheme. Their team is nearly identical to last year except for the UPGRADES in the secondary.

However, Georgia State is nothing to laugh at. They bring back all 11 starters and their pass game is good enough to cause problems. Last year they averaged over 400 yards per game putting them among the Top 40 and scored enough to put them in that range there too.

All in all though, Army is gonna hold the ball and their rushing attack won’t have much pushback as the Panthers have a new linebacking core to deal with and get accustomed to. Wouldn’t be surprised if Army took it home, I’m taking the plus money, if you don’t like it take the free field goal to be safe at +2.5

BONUS- USC -14, Purdue -7, UI Lafayette +8.5

Be sure to check out the other guys on twitter @sandmanpicks, @d_buckets, and of course @itsafullcount for great insight on the games this weekend and their picks!

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