CIN ML over MIN +110, CWS ML over PIT -179, STL ML over DET -117 (+507)
We hit yesterday on the Astros but the Dodgers failed to complete our parlay, bringing us to 79-77 (+14.51u) on the season.
To start the day off early, I like the slight underdog Reds with lefty Wade Miley (52.1 rolling game score) on the hill to take down Bailey Ober (50.2 rolling game score) and the Twins to split this quick two game series.
After a six game winning streak sweeping 3 game sets from the Rockies and Brewers, the Reds are now riding a 5 game losing streak after being swept by the Padres and dropping the first game in Minnesota. I expect this streak to end today as Miley (6-4 2.88 ERA) has been lights out in his four most recent starts, giving up 6 runs over 25 innings while striking out 22.
Even during their losing streak, the Reds offense has been much more consistent than the streaky Twins, so I like the plus money value on Miley and Cincy pulling it out today to end their losing streak.
Next, Lucas Giolito (57.8 rolling game score) and the White Sox open up a series with the Pirates with lefty Tyler Anderson (48.9 rolling game score) on the mound for Pittsburgh after both teams had an off day yesterday. It was much needed for the White Sox as they hit a brick wall for the first time since April, getting swept by the hottest team in baseball right now, the Astros.
Giolito has gone at least six innings in every start since May 9th against the Royals where he threw five innings of one run ball, but has been giving up a few more runs than what we’ve gotten used to seeing from him. Today feels like the perfect get right day against a struggling Orioles team with Giolito going deep into the game.
Anderson on the other hand, got blown up for 10 hits and 6 runs in his most recent start against the Nationals. With the White Sox being a top 5 team in the league against left handed pitching, there should be plenty of offense generated to go along with a dominant performance from Giolito to cruise to a victory and end the four game skid.
Last but not least, we have Johan Oviedo and the Cardinals taking down the Tigers and Tarik Skubal. Oviedo has struggled some against high powered lineups this season but has been dominant against the teams he should be, as his most recent start he shut down the Marlins over 7 innings of work while walking nobody and striking out 4.
I can see this pitching matchup going either way, but with the Cardinals having a slightly superior offense and well rested bullpen that ranks 7th in the league in opponents batting average (.219), I give the edge to St. Louis as they’re facing the worst offense in the AL (3.88 runs per game) and the second worst bullpen (opponents batting .260).