HOU ML over BAL -163, LAD ML over SD +108 (+235)
To kick things off on the safer side, I like Jake Odorizzi (51.5 rolling game score) and the Astros to continue their winning ways and take down Keegan Akin (48.0 rolling game score) and the Orioles.
The Astros are white hot and their offense is performing how most expected them to after a slow start to the season, averaging 7 runs per game over their past 9.
During that stretch, they’ve only lost one game and are currently riding a 7 game win streak. On the flip side, the Orioles have been struggling in all facets of the game the past week or two, losing 9 out of their last 10 games.
With the struggling Akin taking the bump for the O’s (has given up 11 runs over his past two starts), there’s no logical reason to think the Astros’ offensive onslaught won’t continue. While Odorizzi has had his struggles this season (1-3 5.68 ERA), he has settled down nicely in his last two appearances pitching 9 innings while only giving up 5 hits and 3 runs while striking out 9.
Next, anytime I can get plus money on this hot Dodgers team my ears are going to perk up. We have an incredible pitching matchup with Julio Urias (53.3 rolling game score) against the Padres’ Yu Darvish (59.9 rolling game score).
However, after a dominant April and May, Darvish has struggled a bit by his standards so far in June in his three starts, giving up 8 runs over 17.1 innings (4.15 ERA). Urias has the stuff to shut a team down any night and with the Padres being below average against left handed pitching (.231 team batting average), I give the slight edge to the Dodgers in the pitching matchup.
Along with this and the Dodgers offense heating up just like the Astros and having the better top to bottom lineup, I’ll take the plus money on LA all day to boost our odds and cash out late tonight.