CHC ML over NYM +115, TB ML over SEA -170 (+242)
Another tough loss yesterday as Sandy Alcantara dominated as expected, but the Marlins failed to score a single run and fell to the Cards 1-0 on a walkoff in the bottom of the ninth.
We were able to make up some ground by doubling up on the Indians and adding the Giants, ending yesterday 2-2 (+1.21u). Today, the Mets are looking to finish off a rare four game sweep of the Cubs with Marcus Stroman on the mound facing off against Kyle Hendricks of the Cubs.
The Mets are given the slight edge in this game due to their recent hot streak and pitching matchup I assume (4.46 ERA for Hendricks and 2.33 ERA for Stroman), but the Cubs have been nearly unbeatable in games Hendricks’ has started since May.
During that span, Hendricks has gone 7-1 over his eight starts, providing a quality start in all but his one loss to the Pirates back on May 9th, where he went five innings and gave up 4 earned runs. Over his last 6 starts, Hendricks has thrown 40 innings while only giving up 13 runs for a 6-0 record and 2.93 ERA.
Add this to the fact that it’s so hard to beat a bad team three or four times in a row, let alone an above average team like the Cubs, so I’ll take the plus money given with Hendricks on the mound and see Chicago avoiding the dreaded four game sweep.
Next, to hopefully finish things up tonight we have lefty Rich Hill (56.0 rolling game score) and the Rays taking down the Mariners and Justin Dunn (49.1 rolling game score).
Even when he’s been successful, Dunn hasn’t pitched deep into games and his only start this month he got rocked by the Indians, giving up 9 hits and 5 runs over only 3 innings of work. Add to the fact that Seattle has a bottom tier bullpen this season, I don’t see the Rays having any issues putting up runs tonight.
Rich Hill needs to step up in a big way with Tyler Glasnow going on the IL, and I expect him to do so tonight. The Mariners are last in the league against left handed pitching, hitting an abysmal .214.
Hill’s stellar season has been overlooked so far (5-2 3.38 ERA) due to the awesomeness that is Glasnow, but tonight is the perfect setup and opportunity for Hill to temporarily step into the “ace” role for the Rays and get them back on the right track after dropping 2 of 3 to the White Sox.