MIA ML over STL -120, CLE ML over BAL -162 (+197)
We hit again on the Rays/White Sox game yesterday as Chicago and Keuchel shut down the Rays on their way to a 3-0 victory, but the Nationals fell short of upsetting the Dodgers after being tied 3-3 late in the game, eventually falling 5-3.
Today, I’m back with a safer two teamer that I love the odds on hitting, starting with the Marlins taking down the Cardinals to avoid the sweep. The Marlins have one of their best pitcher on the mound, Sandy Alcantara (54.9 rolling game score), while the Cards trot out their worst starter, Johan Oviedo (44.4 rolling game score).
Alcantara has been pitching extremely well this month, logging 20 innings over 3 starts while only giving up 7 runs and striking out 16. He also had a very strong start against the Cardinals earlier this season where he pitched 6 innings while giving up 2 runs and striking out 10.
With the huge discrepancy in the pitching matchup and the Cardinals offense struggling mightily as of recent (averaging 2 runs per game over their last 4), I love the value on this Marlins play to start the day off early.
Next, to close thing out tonight I like the Indians to take down the Orioles to win their third in a row and push the Orioles losing streak to seven games. Cleveland has Aaron Civale (55.0 rolling game score) facing off against lefty Keegan Akin (49.6 rolling game score).
The Indians are playing like the team we expected them to be over the past week or two and the same can be said for Baltimore as they’re quickly showing they’re the worst team in the AL.
I was expecting this line to be much closer to -200 with how dominant Civale has been this season (9-2 3.17 ERA) facing off against one of the leagues worst offenses, as Baltimore averages less than 4 runs per game (23rd in the league).
Along with the Indians offense starting to wake up recently, I love the value on this play and foresee a solid start from Civale and for Cleveland to knock around Akin and the O’s bullpen to cash the parlay tonight.