WSH ML -125 over PIT, KC ML -148 over DET, TB ML -114 over CWS (+466)
To kick off the first leg of our parlay, I like the slightly favored Nationals to take care of business against the Pirates with Jon Lester taking the hill for the Nats facing off against JT Brubaker of Pittsburgh.
Lester struggled early on in the season but has found his footing his past three starts, giving up only 3 runs over 13.1 innings. I expect him to continue this trend today against the worst offense in the league, with the Pirates only averaging 3.48 runs per game.
After starting the season off strong, Brubaker has struggled his most recent four starts, giving up 15 runs over 21.2 innings of work. With a decent start from Lester and enough offense early against the Pirates’ starter, I love the odds on the Nats to cruise to an easy victory to start us off strong.
Next, Brad Keller and the Royals take on Matthew Boyd and the Detroit Tigers. The Royals are coming off a brutal west coast trip where they dropped 6 of 7 to the Angels and A’s, but are back home with their best pitcher on the hill against one of the worst teams in the AL.
After a horrible start to his season, Keller has turned it around and turned into the ace the Royals needed with Danny Duffy going on the IL, going 43 innings with a 3.86 ERA since the start of May. In his most recent start against the Royals, Boyd made it through 5 innings while giving up 8 hits and 5 earned runs.
With Detroit giving up even more runs than they typically do in the past week or so and the Royals offense due for a bounce back performance with Keller on the mound, I see KC providing enough offensive support to pull this one out.
Finally to close things out, we have a great pitching matchup with Tyler Glasnow of the Rays taking on Lance Lynn of the White Sox.
The White Sox have been crushing the ball and proving why they’re one of the best offenses in the league the past week or so, but have been doing so against the Tigers and other inferior pitching.
I expect a low scoring, grind it out type of game that the Rays are more accustomed to, so while I’m admittedly less confident on this game than the other two, I like the odds given to boost the parlay and have much more confidence in the Rays to pull it out with this pitching matchup.