MIN ML over TEX -167, KC ML over CLE -129 (+185)
We obviously nailed our Orioles pick yesterday with John Means throwing a no hitter, but the Dodgers bullpen was unable to hold onto a lead and they fell to the Cubs in extra innings and got swept.
Today we’re back with some day baseball on this Thursday, starting with Michael Pineda (55.5 rolling game score) and the Twins taking on Jordan Lyles (44.6 rolling game score) and the Rangers.
Pineda has pitched well in all but one of his five starts and has a respectable 2.30 ERA over a month into the season, and now gets to face one of the worst offensive teams in the league. Lyles on the other hand has been knocked around all season (7.39 ERA) and didn’t even make it out of the third inning in his last start, giving up 10 hits and 7 runs while walking 3 batters.
I like the odds on the Twins jumping on Lyles early and Pineda putting together a quality start to cash leg 1 of the parlay.
Next, the Royals are in the midst of a four game skid and are looking to salvage their series against the Indians today and avoid the sweep. Today is get right day for the Royals, as they have their ace Danny Duffy (54.5 rolling game score) on the hill facing the Indians back end starter Triston McKenzie (48.3 rolling game score).
With both these teams being comparable offensively, I was shocked to see the Royals’ odds at better than -150 with this pitching matchup. Duffy has only given up one earned run over his four starts, good for microscopic ERA of 0.60.
McKenzie on the other hand has yet to find much success this season, posting a 6.27 ERA over 4 starts and 5 total appearances. In his most recent outing, he pitched two innings, walked 4 batters, and gave up 5 runs.
The Royals are a much more patient team at the plate this season with additions like Carlos Santana and Andrew Benintendi, so I like their odds of putting up runs on the Twins and Duffy coming through with another gem of a start.