WSH ML over STL -160, ATL ML over NYY +115 (+250)
We nailed the Angels game yesterday but an implosion in the 8th inning by the Phillies bullpen kept our parlay from hitting. Bouncing back today with one plus money bet with great value and the favorite I feel most confident in.
After a rocky first start, Max Scherzer has returned to his normal form over his past two starts only giving up 5 hits and one run over 13 innings while striking out 15.
The ace gets an extremely favorable matchup against the worst starter in the Cardinals rotation as of now, Carlos Martinez, who is 0-3 with a 7.80 ERA on the young season (46.5 rolling game scores vs. Scherzer’s 58.8).
The Nationals weakness so far this season has been scoring runs, ranking 26th in the league averaging 3.6 runs per game.
With the struggling Martinez on the mound and backed by Scherzer, this is a great opportunity for the offense to start to heat up while their ace puts zeroes up on the board behind them to scratch out a victory over the Cardinals.
Next, I was expecting the Braves to be around even money against the Yankees, so the +125 value was too good to pass up.
Corey Kluber is on the mound for the Yankees, who hasn’t made it past the 4th inning so far this season in his three starts since the MLB started cracking down on pitchers using foreign substances on baseballs.
Coincidence? Maybe. But still interesting to see from someone who has been so dominant in the past. He’ll be facing the second best starter on the Braves, Ian Anderson, who so far has stringed together three decent but not amazing starts.
With the pitching matchup being a wash in my opinion, I’ll take the value on the Braves here as the Yankees offense has showed no signs of breaking out and there’s nothing to suggest the Yankees will be able to tame the Braves top 10 offense for a second night in a row.
As a reminder, I always put 1 unit on the parlay and 2 units on each bet individually. Follow along here.