MIN ML over BOS -155, TB ML over TEX -183 (+155)
We nailed the Giants game yesterday, but Houston let us down big time for the second time in the past week so they’re officially on the shit list for the month.
The Red Sox are the hottest team in baseball right now, winning 9 in a row after getting swept out of the gate by the Orioles. However, they face a tall task today trying to complete a 4 game sweep against the 2020 AL Central champs, the Twins.
After getting swept yesterday in the doubleheader, I expect a strong bounce back performance from the home team Twins offense and one of the many solid Twins’ starters, Michael Pineda.
Minnesota will be facing one of the worst starters in an already mediocre Boston rotation, Garrrett Richards, so early run support for Pineda will be key to cruise to an easy victory.
It’s tough in baseball to even beat a bad team 4 times in a row, especially after sweeping a doubleheader, so I’ll take my chances with a solid Twins team to win and end the losing streak.
Next, the Texas Rangers, who in my opinion have the worst overall team top to bottom, have managed to start out 5-7. They’ve taken two in a row from the Rays the past two days after Tampa won the first game, so now the Rays also sit at 5-7 and are looking to split the 4 game series today.
I’m not a huge fan of FiveThirtyEight’s overall team rankings, but their pitcher ratings are extremely useful. On their scale, about 50 is average, anything in the 40’s is below average, and anyone in the 60’s is a top tier ace. For reference, Gerrit Cole has the highest pitcher rating of 65.1.
Today the Rangers trot out their worst starter, Jordan Lyles (45.9), against the Ray’s second best starter, Rich Hill (53.7). With the strong edge in the pitching matchup and the Rays without a doubt having a more dangerous lineup, I love the Rays in this matchup to cash our parlay tonight.
As a reminder, I always put 1 unit on the parlay and 2 units on each bet individually. Follow along here.