ATL ML over MIA -165, KC ML over LAA +116 (+247)
We nailed the Padres game yesterday but Greinke and the Astros offense let us down big time, bringing us to 19-16 (+10.71u) on this young MLB season. Today we go back to the basics with our two ML bets, and I’ve found the two with the best value.
First, we have the Braves coming off an extra inning loss against the Marlins last night. Atlanta is much better than their slow 4-6 start, as they have one of the best lineups top to bottom in the NL and should ascend to head of the NL East in the next week or two.
Similar to the Padres/Pirates game yesterday, I don’t see this Marlins team stringing together a three game winning streak, especially two in a row at the Braves’ home ballpark with two mediocre starters facing off against each other.
Next, we have Danny Duffy and the Royals, who sit at 4-4 after falling to the Angels last night. Duffy looks like a new pitcher this season, or at least closer to what we saw 2014-2017 before he was constantly riddled with injury and control problems.
In spring training Duffy’s hits and walks were down and strikeouts were up, and that trend continued in his first start of the season when he threw 6 shutout innings while only giving up 2 hits and striking out 5 against the Indians.
I expect another strong outing from Duffy and for this inconsistent yet talented Royals lineup to generate enough offense against an Angels team that is allowing 5.6 runs per game (T28th in the league) to win the game and go back above .500 and cash today’s parlay.
As a reminder, I always put 1 unit on the parlay and 2 units on each bet individually. Follow along here.