SD -1.5 over PIT -140, HOU -1.5 over DET -115 (+220)
I’m switching up the parlay strategy slightly today from ML to spread due to the value on these two games and my confidence in both of these teams to win in blowout fashion or close to it.
The Pirates are coming off a two game win streak against the Cubs but still sit at 3-6 on the season.
Their winning streak ends today as they put Trevor Cahill on the mound (one of the league’s worst starters) against the Padres’ top 5 offense.
They also have Yu Darvish on the mound, so I expect a solid start out of him and early runs for the Padres to cover. Only 1 out of the Pirates 6 losses has been by only one run and the Padres are currently #1 in the league in runs allowed per game (2.30).
On the flip side, we have Zack Greinke and the Astros coming off a two game skid against the lowly A’s to face the Tigers, giving up 6 runs per game (ranked 28th).
The Astros right the ship today with their ace on the mound and facing the worst team in the AL in just about all facets of the game.
I expect this Tigers lineup to struggle against Greinke and for the offensive explosion Houston is due for to occur, making this an easy win.
At the end of the day, I tried to not overthink today’s play. Two of the best teams in the league going against two of the worst teams in their league with favorable pitching matchups.
As a reminder, I always put 1 unit on the parlay and 2 units on each bet individually. Follow along here.