MIN +7 over NO
Besides the Bucs game in Week 14 where Dan Bailey couldn’t make a field goal and the Vikings lost by 12, they haven’t lost by more than a touchdown since mid October against the Falcons.
It was clear in Drew Brees’ return against the Chiefs where he only completed 15 out of 34 passes that he isn’t completely healthy and isn’t even the QB he was earlier this year, who was already a shell of his former self.
With the Saints fighting the Packers for the #1 seed and bye while the Vikings fight for their playoff lives, we expect the Saints to pull this one out but the Vikings to cover the spread.
MIA -3 over LV
The Raiders are trending downward in a rough way, losing four out of their last five with their only win coming on a miracle comeback against the Jets of all teams.
The Dolphins are fighting for their playoff lives, and a win against the Raiders would raise their chances of obtaining one of the three wild card spots to nearly 50% from around 30%.
Miami has been the better team and much more consistent over the past month and have much more to play for, so they will win and cover against the Raiders.
IND -1.5 over PIT
This isn’t an overreaction to the Steelers embarrassing Monday Night Football performance against the Bengals. Their performance was confirmation of what we already believed to be true: they were extremely overrated throughout this whole season due to the soft schedule they have played.
The Colts have quietly been one of the most consistent and well rounded teams this year, landing in the top 10 in points per game both offensively and defensively.
Their run defense has been top notch this year and the way Big Ben has looked the past three weeks, we have faith the Colts can cruise to a victory as they Steelers continue to spiral into the abyss of the AFC.
SEA -1.5 over LAR
These two teams are talented enough that at times they appear to be at the top of the NFC, and then some weeks they are unrecognizable because of how inconsistent they are. The Rams are coming off a shocking loss to the winless Jets, while the Seahawks just edged out Washington after losing to the Giants a couple weeks back.
The good news for Seattle though is their secondary has turned from the worst to one of the more competent in the league since the start of the season, and Russell Wilson and the offense seem due for an explosion.
We like the Seahawks to get revenge this week on the Rams and capitalize on the weekly mistakes and turnovers the Rams seem to hand out and ride out a win and cover.