Along with our first spread bet of six on the week (NE +6.5 when it first dropped), here are our three favorite props for tonight:
Cam Newton under 178.5 passing yards (-135)
Cam has only hit over this number three times this season, with two of them coming against the two worst pass defenses in the league (Seahawks and Jets). This week he faces the league’s best pass defense in yards allowed per game (198.2).
We expect the Patriots to be competitive tonight, but by controlling the clock with the run and taking advantage of Rams’ mistakes. Take the under on passing yards for Cam.
Cam Newton over 46.5 rushing yards (+100)
The Patriots are going to stick to the formula that has worked most for them this year, which is pounding the ball downfield with Cam and their backfield along with short passes. This should be a game where he has less than 20 pass attempts and 10+ rushes. We like the over and the value here.
Cooper Kupp over 58.5 receiving yards (-130)
If you’ve watched the Rams offense this whole season, what stands out the most is Goff’s reliance on Kupp at times. Tonight certainly looks like it could be another one of those nights.
He is always a safe bet to go over on his receptions and yards, but we like the line and odds on yards as he has easily hit over this number 7 times already this season.